Tuesday, April 7, 2009

10 of 11 = 1-0

You know, I think I like this whole idea of relief pitchers coming into the game and getting the guys they face out.

Monday's victory in Cincinnati was, for the most part, a pretty ugly win. The Mets situational hitting was putrid, runners were left on base in bucketloads and the baserunning was spotty. I don't think I saw too much to like from the Mets, at least from the offense. Everyone did a good enough job getting on base, for the most part, and even Reyes and Church chipped in with some steals. But right from the start, the Mets offense seemed to pick up right where they left off last September. Reyes opened with an infield single, stole 2nd, went to 3rd on a groundout by Murphy. And I'm thinking "Hot start, here we go," and then Wright strikes out.

This seemed to be the MO for the Mets most of the afternoon. It's fortunate, then, that Johan Santana emerged from the gate and performed as he usually does. But even so, Santana couldn't be expected to go the distance on Opening Day, in miserable weather. Certainly, Santana wasn't his sharpest, which is certainly excusable given the conditions. And after he ran up to each of his teammates and did an elaborate set of handshakes with each of them, maybe he was a little winded. So, when he departed in the 6th, with a 2-1 lead and the tying run on base, we had reason to be somewhat skeptical. My co-worker was completely convinced that he wouldn't get a win today, and even offered to lay money on it.

In retrospect, I should have taken him up on it.

In came a succession of relief pitchers who don't know a damn thing about constant bullpen implosions and late blown leads. Down went the Reds, one after another, through the 6th, 7th, 8th and 9th. Sean Green, J.J. Putz and Francisco Rodriguez each earned their Joe Buck "WELCOME TO NEW YORK!!" moments for their performances Monday. 11 Reds came to the plate against these 3 pitchers and one reached base, only via a walk by Putz to Chris Dickerson of little consequence.

Man, that's night and day. Last season, a 2-1 lead with the starter leaving with 2 out in the 6th, that lead would have been gone before he even sat on the dugout bench. Amazing how different things are when guys come in out of the bullpen and actually do their jobs. Did I say that already? If this keeps up, you'll hear me saying that a lot. I could get used to this.

Monday, April 6, 2009

The Madness Begins Anew

Four years ago, I wrote a short play about a Red Sox fan living in New York City, with a Yankees fan roommate set during the 2004 ALCS. The play, which was performed at an Arts Festival at my place of employment, featured El Guapo as the Red Sox fan and myself as the Yankees fan, which was for me both nauseating and amusing, since you can imagine I took the opportunity to work every possible horrible Yankee fan stereotype into the piece (basically, my part consisted of a series of monologues by the Red Sox fan, interspersed by the Yankees fan running onstage, screaming incoherently about the Yankees, and running offstage.). At one point in the play, with the Yankees leading the Red Sox 3 games to none, the Red Sox fan describes the current state of the Sox as "Another fall in a lifetime of Winters."

Admittedly, this was my paltry attempt at channeling some of that New England literary BS.

Today, I think it's a pretty accurate description of the last 6 months for the Mets fan.

On Opening Day, 2008, I talked about how it wasn't so much beginning anew on Opening Day as much as it was Starting Over. The end result of this was probably the most difficult, taxing season I've ever experienced as a Mets fan. And I've been through some unmitigated disasters of Mets teams. But I said it at the end of the season, and I'll continue to say it now. It was bad enough to go down on the last day of the season for the second year in a row. The ensuing postseason results just made things that much worse. These mitigating circumstances served to make the offseason even more taxing.

***
It started in December, probably. At least that's when I first noticed that I was doing it. For no apparent reason, I was just putzing around, working in my office or being interrupted from doing such, when I would find that I was singing, in my head, "Jo-se! JoseJoseJose! Jo-se! Jo-se!"

Part of me thought that this was just because I was ready for Baseball season to get going. After all, the 49ers weren't going anywhere, and I couldn't really muster up the energy for the Rangers, etc, etc. Another part of me figured this was the warning sign that the Mets had actually made me completely insane.

***
I cross paths with a goodly number of Mets fans during my travails, and they tend to range from the fairly knowledgeable, to the somewhat novice, to the defeatist, to the overly argumentative, to El Guapo. My insane co-worker is, probably, the one I discuss Baseball with on a regular basis. He is, for background's sake, significantly older than me, old enough to have been a Brooklyn Dodger fan in that era. His particular thing is to point out the general fallacies of the Media, most Yankee fans, and Phillies players.

Example: When Cole Hamels went off on the Mets on varied occasions, my co-worker was generally very quick to point out that Hamels was 0-2 with a 6.00 ERA against the Mets in '08, and how the Mets won 11 of 18 from Philly. I can completely buy the argument that the Phillies are incredibly bothered by the fact that they couldn't beat the Mets most of the time last season, and they use their postseason success and our lack thereof as an avenue to attack us.

Generally, these rants will end with him demanding that I give him some sort of logical answer as to why the Phillies would do this, and, generally, I ask him "When was the last time the Mets won the World Series?" which has become a running gag based on something a Yankee fan said to him after he dared to challenge the Great Derek Jeter.

He has a tendency to focus on the negative. He likes to pick on particular players, which have included (but are not limited to) Eric Valent, Victor Diaz, Marlon Anderson, Lastings Milledge and Chris Woodward. But during this past Spring, he seemed overly complementary, hitting me with comments like, "You know who looks good? Carlos Beltran. He looks really good."

Point is, I think it's easier to be positive, particularly when you're about to hit Opening Day. It's very easy to be down on the Mets. I personally feel somewhat uneasy. But I'm not down on the Mets. The Mets have been good enough to be knocking on the door down to the end of the season, and they've gone to great lengths to try to fix the glaring problems that undercut the last two seasons.

What bothers me, in particular, is how there are a number of publicly-known Mets fans who are complete defeatists. I'll single out WFAN's Joe Benigno for one. I swear, listening to him is like listening to someone who's a closeted Yankee fan. He's convinced the Mets are doomed to failure, he thinks Pelfrey is going to regress to his rookie year, and he makes no effort to hide the praise he heaps on several Yankee pitchers, particularly those who are broken down (Pettitte) or unproven (Joba). Part of the problem we have in Mets nation is that a good number of our most vocal fans just seem too down on the team as it's put together. No doubt, this is a telling season, and no doubt if the Mets don't reach the Postseason this year, wholesale changes will be made. But don't act as though the team is going to struggle to reach .500. By being an alarmist or a defeatist, you only make the fans even more nervous and edgy than we already are.
***

Last year was Starting Over. This year, it's Starting Anew. It has to feel that way if the Mets are going to get past whatever seems to turn them to mush in the waning games of the season. But it's also new as in a New Era in the form of a New Stadium, Citi Field. Many fans have already had a chance to go out and see the new digs. I made my first trip yesterday afternoon, for the Plan Holder Workout. I have a host of photos that I'll be sharing here, most likely later this week. If you can't wait, however, they're all available here. I got to go up to my seat, sit there and check out the view I'll have for 15 games this season, and I have to say, it's beautiful. This ballpark is simply magnificent. Greg at Faith and Fear states it perfectly when he says the mourning period for Shea is over. I agree. Shea was our home for a long time, 22 seasons for myself, but it took me about 20 minutes to fall in love with Citi Field. Yes, there's plenty of criticism. Yes, people are complaining about nit-picky little things like the color scheme. I don't care. There is something about Citi Field that makes it seem like such a wonderful place to watch a ballgame. Gentle touches, from the open walkways, to the clear sightlines, to the fact that a seat at the top of the stadium, much like my seats are, don't feel like you're sitting way up in the stratosphere. From the top of the stadium, it still feels like you're right on top of the action. You don't lose perspective of fly balls like you did in Shea. I was in the park for about 90 minutes on Sunday morning, and I can't wait to get back on April 13th.

One other thing happened that got me ready for Opening Day. While I was giving Citi Field the full walkthrough, I ended up somewhere around the Center Field food court on the Field level, not quite by Shake Shack, but close enough, when a clump of people seemed to be slowly working their way towards me. I wondered if it wsa someone important. Sure enough, flanked by a battery of security guards, there was Jerry Manuel, walking through the crowds, smiling, shaking hands and welcoming the encouragement. He made his way towards me and I took the opportunity to walk up to him, give him a fist pound, and tell him, "All right, Jerry, Let's get it done!" He grinned and said, "All right, here we go!"

If that doesn't get you ready for Opening Day, I don't know what does.

METS TO THE MOON IN 2009!!!

Friday, April 3, 2009

Even Less Well-Informed than Last Season (2009 American League Preview

Last season, I waxed somewhat anecdotal about how I hadn't studied for my Fantasy Baseball draft, and the end result was that I ended up finishing 3rd, higher than I'd finished in about 7 years. I can't quite say that my American League predictions ended up nearly as well, but then again, who the hell thought the Tampa Bay Rays would turn into a modern-day version of the 1969 Mets?

The point, as usual, is that most of the time, I don't have any idea what I'm talking about.

I still know relatively little about the makeup of most of the teams in the American League. I still think it's the Fatboy league, strategy-free and full of tiny ballparks and pitchers with an average ERA of 4.80. I believe this makes me just as qualified to make predictions as anyone else who really takes their preseason predictions seriously. As with yesterday's NL Preview, we're hitting rapid-fire and blasting right through this sucker.

AL EAST
1) Boston Red Sox (95-67)
The three best teams, perhaps, in all of Baseball reside int his division. This will throw off their records somewhat since they'll all beat up on each other, and I think it will come down to who has the best head for pressurized games down the stretch. And I think the Red Sox boast the best set of heads. Though it remains to be seen if Ortiz is healthy, there are no questions when it comes to Pedroia, Youkilis or Jason Bay. Their pitching is just as solid, top to bottom, and even if the back of the rotation guys like Brad Penny and John Smoltz can't hack it, they have so much depth that they'll be able to cover it up.

2) Tampa Bay Rays (93-69)
They came out of nowhere last year and they're not going anywhere for a while. They have the pitching to keep up with Boston, without question. Though it's guys like Shields, Kazmir and David Price that get all the ink, I think the guy who's going to stand out for them is Matt Garza, and he's likely the 4th starter. Their offense doesn't quite have the punch of Boston's, but you can't not like the young nucleus of Upton, Longoria and Carlos Pena, and giving Pat Burrell a chance to hit in those AL Ballparks on a regular basis can't hurt him at all. I think they'll hang around right to the end and win the Wildcard.

3) New York Yankees (92-70)
Operating in the Media Vaccuum in New York, all we've been subjected to over the past few months is the Yankee hype machine talking about how this team is the best ever, they're going to win 110 games and nobody will be able to touch them. Sabathia will win 20, Joba will win 20 and other teams may as well not show up. I find this kind of funny when the Yankees are boasting a starting rotation featuring 3 guys who have a history of breaking down (Wang, Burnett, Joba), one more who's basically past it (Pettitte), and major question marks at 6 Offensive positions (Cano, Jeter, Gardner, Damon, Posada, Matsui). And that's not even touching on the Alex Rodriguez circus, who probably won't play until Mid-May at the earliest. If they start slow, and that's a very distinct possibility, they could be in a lot of trouble by time he comes back. Don't be so quick to drink the Kool-Aid. This team has some severe flaws.

4) Toronto Blue Jays (79-83)
They're woefully unexciting and hopelessly buried behind the big 3. They have a very solid pitching rotation, even after losing Burnett, and that should keep them somewhat respectable. But an offense that features Vernon Wells and a horrible mishmash of over-the-hill veterans, middling utility guys and one hotshot rookie (Travis Snider) won't be able to hold up their end of the bargain. Another depressing season for my friends at the Tao of Stieb.

5) Baltimore Orioles (72-90)
I think they'll be better than their record shows, but this division is so topheavy, that they will more than likely just get killed on a regular basis. I know there's some talent here, but I don't think it's worth digging to hard to find it.

AL CENTRAL
1) Minnesota Twins (87-75)
This is probably the most wide-open division in Baseball, though the Twins seem to be the prohibitive favorite. In the final season at the Baggie, the Twins have retained much of the team that was able to take them all the way down to a Play-in game, which they lost 1-0 to John Danks and the White Sox. But this is a smart, heady team that has a lot of guys who just know how to beat you. I love their outfield trio of Denard Span, Carlos Gomez and Jason Kubel, and of course Morneau can carry the load. And then, to top it off, two words: Joe Crede.

2) Chicago White Sox (85-77)
Much like last year, they'll hang around all the way to the end. It's not going to be pretty, they'll probably get a few good meltdowns out of Ozzie Guillen, and they'll probably have their troubles at the back end of the rotation with Contreras and Bartolo Colon, but they have solid mix of veterans and youth, and I wouldn't be all that surprised if they won the division.

3) Cleveland Indians (82-80)
This team that was one win away from sneaking into the World Series a couple of years ago has fallen rudely back to the heap. I don't think Cliff Lee is quite capable of duplicating his numbers from last season, and Carl Freakin' Pavano is the 3rd starter. Their lineup is also basically Grady Sizemore and a bunch of guys who will hit .275 with 15-20 HRs and 60-70 RBI. Yawn City.

4) Kansas City Royals (75-87)
They won't finish last, and they'll actually look better this year. I think the Royals have finally turned the corner here, and might actually be moving in a positive direction. They've added some veteran talent in Coco Crisp and Mike Jacobs to complement their emerging stars Alex Gordon, Mark Teahen, Mike Aviles and David DeJesus. Pitching is still questionable, they'll take their lumps, but they have an outstanding bullpen that nobody really knows much about, and Joakim Soria is probably one of the AL's best kept secrets. Look for them to surprise.

5) Detroit Tigers (74-88)
This team is a train wreck.

AL WEST
1) Anaheim Angels (91-71)
I guess so. I think they're everyone's pick because nobody thinks much of the rest of the division. I find them woefully unexciting, but they're clearly one of the more talented teams in the game.

2) Oakland Athletics (83-79)
I think they're going to hit a little more than last year, although should they fall out of the race early, Free Agent to be Matt Holliday will probably be dealt, and Eric Chavez will get hurt, and they also have Jason Giambi and Nomar Garciaparra, which would be a fabulous middle of the lineup punch were it 10 years ago. But I think the fate of the team hinges on how long it takes for them to call up Corey Wimberly. Any guy who boasts the best-looking use of stirrups, well, probably ever deserves to play in the Majors.

3) Texas Rangers (75-87)
Annoyingly Offensive.

4) Seattle Mariners (73-89)
They make me very tired.

AWARDS
AL MVP: Evan Longoria, TB
AL Cy Young: Roy Halladay, TOR
AL Rookie of the Year: Taylor Teagarden, TEX

PLAYOFFS
ALDS: Minnesota over Boston, Tampa Bay over Anaheim
ALCS: Minnesota over Tampa Bay

Figured I'd take something resembling a risk with these picks. Satisfied? Yeah, me too.

Thursday, April 2, 2009

It's All Going to be Wrong Anyway (2009 National League Preview)

Every year, I take the time to write a carefully thought-out and logical preview for each league. And every year, I'm generally wrong in just about every respect. I suppose, of course, that that is the beauty of writing a column. In the past, I was doing a Fantasy Baseball league and usually had the time to study up and figure out who was projected to do well, or even in some cases who was on each team. Well, I didn't do that this year. Despite the fact that I wholeheartedly admit to being much more NL-centric and glossed over my AL Preview last year, I'm afraid I'm going to have to do the same for both leagues this season. I just don't feel like I know very much about each team, short of the bits and pieces I've heard on TV and Radio, or wherever. But I think I know just enough to make some well-intentioned guesses about where everyone will finish. So, while this won't have quite the depth of past Season Previews, it should at least be good for a nice guffaw.

As always, records won't add up, you can consider the W-L totals as more or less +/- 5.

NL EAST
1) Philadelphia Phillies (92-70)
Though they lack the pitching depth that their closest competitor, the Mets, have, they've been down this road before and have more or less the same lineup that proves to be so difficult to get out down the stretch. Even if you're replacing Pat Burrell with Raul Ibanez.

2) New York Mets (90-72)
They need to figure out how to get out of their own way before they can realistically be considered the "Team to Beat." Clearly, the pieces are there, and a lot of people seem to believe in them. But I've written plenty about the makeup of this team already, and it seems to me like they're leaving an awful lot to chance on some pretty big question marks. They'll be good. I don't think they'll be quite good enough to pass Philly.

3) Atlanta Braves (83-79)
Rebuilt their pitching staff and brought in some names that kind of look nice on paper, but I think Vazquez and Lowe would have looked a lot better in their rotation were it 2004 and not 2009. Young guys like Jurrjens should be better with a year under their belts. I don't think, however, they'll be able to generate enough offense. Much of their lineup is contingent on Larry, and it's pretty clear that he can't stay healthy over a full season anymore.

4) Florida Marlins (77-85)
They're going to be the same damn annoying team that you can't seem to shake and you can't ever put away. Yes, they dealt away a lot of their punch in Willingham and Jacobs, but the pitching rotation is filled with young, talented guys who are about to find themselves (Johnson, Nolasco, Miller), their lineup is led by perhaps the game's most dynamic player, Hanley Ramirez, and Cameron Maybin appears ready to ascend and I think he's going to be a major star. But, I think they have too many holes in the bottom of their lineup and especially in their bullpen to realistically be considered a contender.

5) Washington Nationals (74-88)
I think they'll be a little better than they were last year, but then again, they amount to little more than a bunch of semi-talented headcases (Dukes, Milledge, Young, Olsen) who are more likely to eat each other alive than eat other teams.

NL CENTRAL
1) Chicago Cubs (94-68)
It's more or less the same team with a few different pieces here and there that will probably mash their way to the NL Central without much drama and then lose in the first round once again.

2) St. Louis Cardinals (88-74)
I really have no idea how they'll do it, it's going to be another one of those stupid Tony LaRussa teams that wins games with tape and bubble gum and you have no idea how or why, but they'll be there at the end.

3) Milwaukee Brewers (85-77)
They still have a boatload of talent on offense, but considering that the major pieces of their drive to the Wildcard last season, Sabathia and Sheets, are both gone, leaving them with a pitching rotation that's headed by Jeff Suppan, well, you can draw your own conclusions there.

4) Cincinnati Reds (79-83)
A lot of people are, I believe, just a little too optimistic about the Reds this season. I know they haven't contended in forever and it's always easy to get crazy when a bad team suddenly looks a little better. They have the talent, certainly, and they'll look markedly better than they've looked in years. But let's be serious. The rotation is filled with middling guys with ERAs around 4.60. They're not there yet.

5) Houston Astros (77-85)
By July, mark my words, the Astros will be that team you end up forgetting about completely until the Mets mysteriously show up in Houston for a weekend series on July 24th.

6) Pittsburgh Pirates (70-92)
No hope in sight.

NL WEST
1) Arizona Diamondbacks (86-76)
I was wrong on this last year, but that doesn't deter me from trying it again. Through intermittent points last season, I felt that the Diamondbacks were the only good team in the NL West. They kind of fell apart late in the season, or was it that LA got hot, but I think they have the pitching and the offense to win this division.

2) San Francisco Giants (84-78)
This team has by far and away the best pitching rotation in the Major Leagues, and if they are somehow able to generate any offense from what appears to be a mostly punchless lineup, they will surprise a hell of a lot of people.

3) Los Angeles Dodgers (83-79)
I don't buy it. Their starting rotation is so spotty that Hiroki Kuroda, who completely lost his composure in a game at Shea last June, is their #1 pitcher. They're going to hit in bucketloads, but the dreck they're going to trot to the mound will amount to a number of frustrating 8-5, 9-7 losses where the pitching just can't stop the other team.

4) Colorado Rockies (74-88)
A far cry from the Miracle Rockies that went to the World Series a couple of years ago. Already, people seem to have forgotten that ever happened.

5) San Diego Padres (67-95)
San Diego fans will be praying for the health and speed of LaDainian Tomlinson by June 1st.

AWARDS
NL MVP: Chase Utley, PHI
NL Cy Young: Johan Santana, NYM
NL Rookie of the Year: Cameron Maybin, FLA

PLAYOFFS
NLDS: New York over Chicago, Philadelphia over Arizona
NLCS: Heart Attack.

Hope this makes some degree of sense. AL Preview tomorrow.

Tuesday, March 31, 2009

Who We Are

I've never met Greg Prince, though, after reading his new book, Faith and Fear in Flushing: An Intense Personal History of the New York Mets, I kind of feel like he's someone I've known for years.

The book, written with the same grace and eloquence as his blog, certainly justifies its title; it's a glimpse into the life of a man who has lived and died by the Mets, through moments of joy and pride, moments desperate and harrowing, gut-wrenching, heartbreaking and beyond.

Any Mets fan can't help but feel some kind of relation to Greg as they read this book. It's this particular attention to detail, the ability to remember the highest highs with the same clarity as the depths of despair, that the beauty of this book lies.

As I read the book, I couldn't help but feel that Greg and I are very similar as people. We come from fairly similar backgrounds, discovered the Mets at basically the same age (his true fascination coming just at the right time, mine beginning a tantalizing year too late) and even had parents who seemed happy to indulge our interest in the Mets despite not fully sharing it themselves. And we seem to remember everything when it comes to the Mets. I would venture the guess that if you put the two of us in a room together, we'd probably have a 3-hour discussion...about the 1999 Mets.

But this isn't what the book is about. Though Greg's knowledge of the history of the Mets is indisputably vast, the book is written for any fan and every fan of the Mets. It's not simply about history or knowledge, the book offers some insight into what it is to be a fan of the Mets. Though, of course, not every Met fan immerses himself with the same voracity that Greg does, we can all relate to his experiences. We've all had that one great moment, as fans, where we saw something or watched something that will stick with us forever. For the Mets fan, it's never about saying, "We're better than you," or "When was the last time your team did..." Mets history is steeped in words like "Believe" and "Miracle." Words that inspire thoughts of the little guy who rose up and did something great. Not all the time. In fact, sometimes, it's been downright humiliating. But for those moments, we continue to root, we continue to believe, and we keep coming back. Certainly, we have our rivals. Greg wholeheartedly admits a dislike for all things Yankee or Brave. We believe in things like superstitions and karma. I used to follow the same route every time I went into Shea Stadium, buy my program from the same vendor, take the same escalators, etc. Greg, in 1999, lashed out against the Braves while watching this game, and then felt the need to praise them for karma's sake. But these things, too, are all a part of being a Mets fan.

More than anything else, however, Greg is a Mets fan with the gift of eloquence. Memories of the Mets are interwoven with personal anecdotes as smooth as Kevin Elster used to look out at SS. Certainly, the book isn't flawless. But I feel that many of the problems are merely matters of opinion, my own opinion of historical moments, certainly not problems with the writing. Greg does a fine job of telling us his life story as a Mets fan without being too schmaltzy, without being too forceful and with great care for his own personal life. Basically, you should read this book, if you're a Mets fan at all. It's one thing to read about Mets history. It's readily available in many different forms. Greg gives it to you from a fan's perspective, good or bad. It's truly a worthy addition to any Met fan's Library.